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@epiforecasts

Epiforecasts

Researchers at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine doing research to forecast infectious diseases and perform real-time analyses.

We are a research group based at the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases of the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine developing methodology and tools for real-time modelling and forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks. We systematically assess these methods by their predictive ability and apply them in order to improve decision making. Ultimately, our goal is to develop and use robust methodology that makes the most of available resources to provide insights useful for outbreak response, control and prevention, and to make them available as tools to others.

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  1. EpiNow2 EpiNow2 Public

    Estimate Realtime Case Counts and Time-varying Epidemiological Parameters

    R 140 40

  2. covidregionaldata covidregionaldata Public

    An interface to subnational and national level COVID-19 data. For all countries supported, this includes a daily time-series of cases. Wherever available we also provide data on deaths, hospitalisa…

    R 37 16

  3. covid19.nhs.data covid19.nhs.data Public

    Trust-level COVID-19 hospitalisations in England

    R 8 3

  4. socialmixr socialmixr Public

    Derive social mixing matrices from survey data.

    R 44 14

  5. omicron-sgtf-forecast omicron-sgtf-forecast Public

    In this work, we use S-gene target failure (SGTF) as a proxy of variant status combined with reported case counts to explore the evidence for changes in transmission advantage over time for the Omi…

    R 15 4

  6. scoringutils scoringutils Public

    Utilities for Scoring and Assessing Predictions

    R 64 24

Repositories

Showing 10 of 131 repositories
  • EpiBranch.jl Public

    Branching process models for infectious disease epidemiology

    epiforecasts/EpiBranch.jl's past year of commit activity
    Julia 6 MIT 1 7 0 Updated Oct 16, 2026
  • BVDOutbreakSize Public

    Joint Bayesian generative Turing model for the 2026 DRC BVD outbreak. Combines exports, deaths and reported suspected cases (with ascertainment) in a single posterior. Includes a no-onward-transmission deaths lower bound.

    epiforecasts/BVDOutbreakSize's past year of commit activity
    Julia 14 MIT 2 30 13 Updated Oct 16, 2026
  • cityforecasts Public

    R scripts to generate city-level forecasts

    epiforecasts/cityforecasts's past year of commit activity
    R 1 1 18 0 Updated Oct 16, 2026
  • evalwwforecasts Public

    Evaluation of forecasts with and without incorporating wastewater

    epiforecasts/evalwwforecasts's past year of commit activity
    R 4 1 8 4 Updated Oct 15, 2026
  • ForecastEnsembles.jl Public

    Combining probabilistic forecasts in Julia (with an R wrapper)

    epiforecasts/ForecastEnsembles.jl's past year of commit activity
    Julia 1 MIT 0 3 0 Updated Oct 15, 2026
  • forecastbaselines Public

    forecastbaselines: R interface to ForecastBaselines.jl

    epiforecasts/forecastbaselines's past year of commit activity
    R 0 0 1 0 Updated Oct 15, 2026
  • epiforecasts.github.io Public

    Quarto website for EpiForecasts

    epiforecasts/epiforecasts.github.io's past year of commit activity
    HTML 5 8 3 0 Updated Oct 14, 2026
  • epiforecasts/eval-by-method's past year of commit activity
    R 6 0 10 0 Updated Oct 13, 2026
  • juliabridge Public

    Robust Julia setup for R packages that wrap a Julia engine via JuliaCall

    epiforecasts/juliabridge's past year of commit activity
    R 2 0 3 0 Updated Oct 13, 2026
  • distspec Public

    Define probability distributions with certain or uncertain parameters

    epiforecasts/distspec's past year of commit activity
    R 1 2 2 2 Updated Oct 13, 2026